On what we already know about minds that never look away — and what it might mean to wear the screen on your face.

A different kind of question
The first three posts in this series were about things we can measure. Eye strain, with tens of thousands of subjects across decades of optometry research. Inattentional blindness, with controlled studies in driving simulators and flight cockpits. Pedestrian deaths, with police accident reports and peer-reviewed papers. All of that is real. All of that is solid ground.
This last post is going to walk us off the solid ground a little, and I want to be honest about that up front. The question of what happens when augmented reality moves from a thing you sometimes use to a thing you always wear is, as of this writing, an open question. The glasses are not yet ubiquitous. The contact lenses don’t exist yet. The data set we’d need to answer the big version of the question hasn’t been collected, because the experiment hasn’t been run on a big enough population for long enough.
So I’m not going to make predictions. I’m not going to tell you what AR glasses are going to do to society in 2035. I have no idea, and anybody who tells you they do is selling you something. What I’m going to do instead is something a little sneakier and a lot more honest: I’m going to walk you through what we already know about what phones have done to human attention, memory, and presence — because phones are basically AR glasses that haven’t quite made it onto your face yet, and the research on phones is a lot further along than the research on glasses. Then I’ll let you do the math.
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